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Qual 392022 Silicon Valley Regional
Red75
97143.8
76618.3
840417.9
Blue53
70118.6
196717.9
741921.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71582040801001207553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#3
43.80.7
37.9→38.6
Auto14.4
Teleop22.6
End6.8
red by 22.0
7419
#15
21.90.8
19.8→19.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.6
End8.0
Second
766
#17
18.30.7
12.8→13.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End8.3
blue by 0.3
701
#32
18.60.8
18.6→17.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Third
8404
#30
17.90.7
14.5→15.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 0.1
1967
#23
17.90.8
17.9→17.2
Auto6.1
Teleop7.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned62%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned