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Red38
499010.0
691818.3
68148.5
Blue71
64932.8
30456.3
517127.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32530204060801003871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6918
#46
18.30.4
15.215.6
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.6
blue by 14.4
649
#9
32.81.6
24.426.0
Auto10.3
Teleop15.0
End7.5
Second
4990
#42
10.00.4
9.09.4
Auto3.2
Teleop5.0
End1.8
blue by 17.0
27.01.6
15.917.5
Auto8.4
Teleop9.6
End9.0
Third
6814
#45
8.50.4
8.18.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End0.5
red by 2.2
3045
#56
6.31.6
6.98.5
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned