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Red44
49049.4
19914.7
75116.5
Blue30
688413.2
248915.8
30456.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413301020506070804430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#35
16.50.1
14.915.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End4.7
red by 0.7
2489
#38
15.80.2
10.810.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Second
199
#29
14.70.1
13.914.0
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 1.5
6884
#53
13.20.1
13.713.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Third
4904
#27
9.40.1
9.19.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.2
End2.7
red by 3.1
3045
#56
6.30.1
7.57.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsEarned20%Hangar oddsMissed