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Red110
76618.3
803329.8
70118.6
Blue20
879310.9
74139.1
203513.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6824040608010011020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8033
#11
29.82.1
27.029.2
Auto8.1
Teleop19.9
End1.8
red by 16.3
2035
#58
13.50.5
11.911.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End4.4
Second
701
#32
18.62.1
17.819.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
red by 7.7
8793
#34
10.90.5
8.68.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End3.8
Third
766
#17
18.32.1
13.515.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End8.3
red by 9.2
7413
#25
9.10.5
7.67.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
68%Cargo oddsEarned5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed