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Red68
29913.7
97232.3
466910.6
Blue115
84013.4
25467.7
348214.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions471022040608012014068115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#14
32.30.8
28.329.2
Auto10.9
Teleop10.4
End11.0
blue by 35.4
254
#1
67.71.5
67.168.6
Auto15.6
Teleop37.5
End14.6
Second
299
#33
13.70.8
13.414.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End4.4
blue by 0.7
3482
#13
14.42.5
10.212.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Third
4669
#36
10.60.8
9.710.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.3
blue by 2.8
840
#48
13.41.5
11.312.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.5
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed64%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned77%Hangar oddsEarned