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Red44
84114.3
64932.8
688413.2
Blue61
41716.1
348214.4
107234.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59553040507080904461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
649
#9
32.80.7
27.827.1
Auto10.3
Teleop15.0
End7.5
blue by 1.3
34.00.0
33.933.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.9
End9.6
Second
841
#28
14.30.7
13.612.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
blue by 0.1
3482
#13
14.40.1
12.712.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.3
End3.5
Third
6884
#53
13.20.7
13.612.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
red by 7.1
4171
#50
6.10.0
5.65.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsMissed