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Red40
691818.3
641818.1
29913.7
Blue51
50277.0
688413.2
70118.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5738020801004051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6918
#46
18.30.7
19.318.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.3
End5.6
blue by 0.3
701
#32
18.60.3
18.618.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End2.2
Second
6418
#26
18.10.7
18.517.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.3
End5.0
red by 4.9
6884
#53
13.20.3
12.813.2
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End2.4
Third
299
#33
13.70.7
13.212.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.5
End4.4
red by 6.7
5027
#43
7.00.6
6.57.1
Auto1.8
Teleop3.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed