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Red41
466910.6
264312.9
840417.9
Blue31
58112.5
49737.1
713713.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46270102040506070804131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8404
#30
17.90.0
14.214.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End4.5
red by 4.7
7137
#31
13.20.1
13.913.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End3.2
Second
2643
#22
12.90.0
15.415.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.6
End3.1
red by 0.4
581
#41
12.50.1
8.68.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.5
End3.7
Third
4669
#36
10.60.0
10.910.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.4
End5.3
red by 3.6
4973
#55
7.10.1
5.45.4
Auto0.3
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed