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Red100
4414B34.7
2102B13.4
97350.6
Blue14
973B34.7
418.8
3647B13.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10156020408012014016010014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
50.60.7
48.849.6
Auto15.8
Teleop28.4
End6.4
red by 15.9
973B
#11
34.75.3
20.715.4
Auto4.4
Teleop29.3
End1.1
Second
34.71.2
31.032.2
Auto8.9
Teleop25.6
End0.2
red by 15.9
4
#24
18.83.2
20.217.0
Auto7.2
Teleop7.4
End4.2
Third
13.41.2
9.310.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End4.2
blue by 0.3
13.75.3
17.211.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned60%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed