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Red52
210226.8
33282.5
973B34.7
Blue102
441462.5
2102B13.4
98014.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4192020608010012014016052102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973B
#11
34.70.8
15.416.2
Auto4.4
Teleop29.3
End1.1
blue by 27.8
62.50.7
54.955.6
Auto16.5
Teleop40.6
End5.4
Second
2102
#15
26.80.5
25.225.7
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End8.1
red by 11.9
980
#30
14.90.7
14.715.4
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Third
3328
#29
2.50.5
4.24.6
Auto0.1
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 10.9
13.41.1
10.511.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed79%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed