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Red86
98014.9
210226.8
35949.7
Blue78
375910.2
97350.6
265912.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94772040601201401608678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
49.70.0
46.246.1
Auto12.0
Teleop25.5
End12.2
blue by 0.9
973
#10
50.60.2
51.952.1
Auto15.8
Teleop28.4
End6.4
Second
2102
#15
26.80.0
24.824.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End8.1
red by 14.6
2659
#25
12.20.2
8.99.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End2.5
Third
980
#30
14.90.0
15.415.4
Auto6.6
Teleop5.9
End2.5
red by 4.7
3759
#27
10.20.2
13.513.8
Auto6.2
Teleop2.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
71%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed