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Red17
97350.6
5998.9
599B7.4
Blue135
519938.8
33282.5
441462.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510805015017135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
50.63.3
52.148.8
Auto15.8
Teleop28.4
End6.4
blue by 11.9
62.52.6
53.656.2
Auto16.5
Teleop40.6
End5.4
Second
599
#22
8.93.3
11.07.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.5
End3.4
blue by 29.8
38.82.6
37.640.2
Auto8.5
Teleop19.4
End10.9
Third
599B
#23
7.45.5
3.2-2.3
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.7
red by 4.9
3328
#29
2.52.6
4.77.3
Auto0.1
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsMissed75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsMissed