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Red106
5199B16.5
441462.5
4414B34.7
Blue65
351236.8
392522.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12254010015010665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.50.3
56.255.9
Auto16.5
Teleop40.6
End5.4
red by 25.7
3512
#12
36.80.4
38.238.5
Auto9.5
Teleop17.0
End10.3
Second
34.70.5
32.231.7
Auto8.9
Teleop25.6
End0.2
red by 12.8
22.00.4
17.918.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End7.7
Third
16.50.5
17.917.5
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End8.5
red by 9.8
6.70.6
3.44.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsMissed67%Hangar oddsEarned