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Red59
5199B16.5
973B34.7
519938.8
Blue20
68710.2
392522.0
14523.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101280501505920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.81.8
40.638.8
Auto8.5
Teleop19.4
End10.9
red by 16.8
22.01.3
18.817.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.2
End7.7
Second
973B
#11
34.724.5
46.121.6
Auto4.4
Teleop29.3
End1.1
red by 24.5
687
#28
10.21.3
8.16.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.5
End4.0
Third
16.50.9
16.517.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End8.5
red by 13.4
1452
#21
3.11.3
8.77.4
Auto0.9
Teleop0.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed