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Red99
375910.2
364738.8
35949.7
Blue82
5199B16.5
599B7.4
69641.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1245301001502009982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
49.70.5
50.750.2
Auto12.0
Teleop25.5
End12.2
red by 8.7
696
#3
41.01.3
38.439.8
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.7
Second
38.80.5
45.645.1
Auto14.8
Teleop18.3
End5.6
red by 22.3
16.51.7
15.617.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End8.5
Third
3759
#27
10.20.5
10.710.2
Auto6.2
Teleop2.5
End1.5
red by 2.9
599B
#23
7.41.7
4.36.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
80%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsEarned