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Red90
603622.6
258416.5
386320.0
Blue57
151518.1
502620.0
513615.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59573040507080909057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#12
22.60.8
21.221.9
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4
red by 2.7
20.00.1
19.920.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End5.5
Second
3863
#14
20.00.8
18.619.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End7.1
red by 1.9
18.10.1
18.018.1
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End5.4
Third
16.50.7
15.215.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End6.7
red by 0.6
5136
#25
15.90.1
15.815.9
Auto4.2
Teleop1.3
End10.4