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Red34
69616.7
113811.1
281316.7
Blue39
508915.3
386320.0
427011.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39371020305060703439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#11
16.70.3
9.69.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End7.8
blue by 3.3
3863
#14
20.00.4
11.111.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End7.1
Second
696
#8
16.70.3
13.613.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End4.6
red by 1.4
5089
#21
15.30.4
10.510.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End5.3
Third
1138
#34
11.10.3
13.313.0
Auto5.3
Teleop0.8
End4.9
blue by 0.1
4270
#16
11.30.4
13.614.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned