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Red43
113811.1
502620.0
508915.3
Blue71
3998.1
441447.0
392512.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327602040601001204371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.8
12.012.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.7
End5.5
blue by 27.0
47.00.3
44.044.3
Auto14.7
Teleop25.3
End7.0
Second
5089
#21
15.30.8
10.911.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End5.3
red by 3.1
3925
#20
12.20.6
13.413.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.9
Third
1138
#34
11.10.8
13.013.8
Auto5.3
Teleop0.8
End4.9
red by 3.0
399
#32
8.10.6
8.79.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned