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Red23
392512.2
47115.4
60594.0
Blue47
512416.5
271015.7
375913.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264402060802347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3925
#20
12.20.8
11.911.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.9
blue by 4.3
5124
#15
16.50.9
13.314.2
Auto6.0
Teleop3.9
End6.7
Second
4711
#36
5.40.5
5.14.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.3
End2.2
blue by 10.4
2710
#17
15.70.9
12.813.7
Auto6.2
Teleop4.1
End5.4
Third
6059
#37
4.00.8
9.58.6
Auto1.6
Teleop0.9
End1.5
blue by 9.1
3759
#29
13.00.5
12.913.4
Auto6.5
Teleop2.3
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned