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Red16
162210.8
69345.6
325610.5
Blue81
732318.1
35941.4
427011.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2379040601001201681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#22
10.81.4
10.38.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End5.8
blue by 30.6
359
#2
41.40.9
38.439.3
Auto10.6
Teleop21.7
End9.1
Second
3256
#23
10.51.4
11.09.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End4.8
blue by 7.7
7323
#13
18.11.6
16.217.7
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
6934
#39
5.61.4
7.45.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 5.7
4270
#16
11.31.6
12.514.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned