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Red20
263710.8
73274.8
47115.4
Blue35
6919.6
513615.9
162210.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3131010204050602035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#24
10.80.9
10.19.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End5.9
blue by 5.1
5136
#25
15.90.6
9.810.4
Auto4.2
Teleop1.3
End10.4
Second
4711
#36
5.40.5
7.36.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.3
End2.2
blue by 5.4
1622
#22
10.80.6
9.510.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End5.8
Third
7327
#35
4.80.9
10.79.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.1
End1.4
blue by 4.8
691
#18
9.60.6
10.511.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed24%Hangar oddsMissed