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Red46
6919.6
138814.7
824.1
Blue36
508915.3
351223.2
47115.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594120801004636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#10
24.10.8
23.722.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 0.9
23.20.5
21.520.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.9
End9.6
Second
1388
#26
14.70.8
16.315.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.3
blue by 0.6
5089
#21
15.30.5
14.714.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End5.3
Third
691
#18
9.60.8
13.412.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 4.3
4711
#36
5.40.3
4.64.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned