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Red54
35941.4
263710.8
3998.1
Blue27
5999.7
58699.8
732318.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66442060801005427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
41.40.6
39.338.7
Auto10.6
Teleop21.7
End9.1
red by 23.3
7323
#13
18.11.9
17.715.9
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Second
2637
#24
10.81.0
12.711.7
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End5.9
red by 0.9
5869
#28
9.81.9
12.410.5
Auto1.6
Teleop5.2
End3.0
Third
399
#32
8.11.0
7.46.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.6
End3.8
blue by 1.6
599
#33
9.71.9
13.711.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed