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Red51
213527.2
162210.8
427011.3
Blue50
271015.7
824.1
450112.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5056203040607080905150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.1
26.526.4
Auto9.8
Teleop8.9
End8.6
red by 3.1
8
#10
24.10.6
23.723.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
4270
#16
11.30.1
12.212.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.8
End6.4
blue by 4.5
2710
#17
15.70.6
15.514.9
Auto6.2
Teleop4.1
End5.4
Third
1622
#22
10.80.1
9.39.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End5.8
blue by 1.6
4501
#31
12.30.4
12.912.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned