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Red69
541917.9
151518.1
732318.1
Blue66
138814.7
392512.2
69616.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49462030406070806966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7323
#13
18.12.2
16.118.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 1.4
696
#8
16.72.2
19.321.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End4.6
Second
18.12.2
16.118.4
Auto7.0
Teleop5.8
End5.4
red by 3.4
1388
#26
14.72.2
13.816.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Third
17.92.4
13.616.0
Auto6.4
Teleop3.7
End7.8
red by 5.6
3925
#20
12.22.2
10.412.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsEarned37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned5%Hangar oddsEarned