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Red34
392512.2
258416.5
375913.0
Blue30
581812.1
6919.6
69345.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52310204060803430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.4
20.218.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End6.7
red by 4.4
5818
#30
12.10.5
14.313.8
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
Second
3759
#29
13.01.1
13.512.4
Auto6.5
Teleop2.3
End4.2
red by 3.4
691
#18
9.60.5
11.110.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Third
3925
#20
12.21.4
12.611.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.9
red by 6.7
6934
#39
5.60.5
6.45.9
Auto2.0
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed