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Red100
603622.6
35941.4
162210.8
Blue29
85333.8
281316.7
67647.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77250406010012010029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
41.42.0
38.340.4
Auto10.6
Teleop21.7
End9.1
red by 24.7
2813
#11
16.70.1
16.616.5
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End7.8
Second
6036
#12
22.62.7
18.321.0
Auto3.2
Teleop14.1
End5.4
red by 15.3
6764
#38
7.30.1
8.88.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
1622
#22
10.82.7
9.211.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End5.8
red by 7.0
8533
#40
3.80.1
5.14.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsMissed