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Red31
581812.1
69616.7
258416.5
Blue61
263710.8
325610.5
213527.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5649203040607080903161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#8
16.71.7
18.917.2
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End4.6
blue by 10.5
27.20.8
27.428.2
Auto9.8
Teleop8.9
End8.6
Second
16.51.7
18.817.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.9
End6.7
red by 5.7
2637
#24
10.80.8
9.710.5
Auto3.6
Teleop1.3
End5.9
Third
5818
#30
12.11.7
13.812.1
Auto1.8
Teleop4.9
End5.4
red by 1.6
3256
#23
10.50.8
9.610.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned