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Red49
67647.3
138814.7
386320.0
Blue84
392512.2
271015.7
35941.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40752060801001204984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#14
20.00.6
18.118.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.6
End7.1
blue by 21.4
359
#2
41.41.2
40.441.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.7
End9.1
Second
1388
#26
14.70.6
15.516.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.3
blue by 1.0
2710
#17
15.71.6
14.115.7
Auto6.2
Teleop4.1
End5.4
Third
6764
#38
7.30.6
8.69.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.6
End1.1
blue by 4.9
3925
#20
12.21.5
11.112.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned