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Red163
291061.7
715743.9
60449.6
Blue135
449960.4
170019.0
441460.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16812550100150200250163135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.7
56.357.0
Auto18.2
Teleop31.6
End12.0
red by 1.3
60.40.8
50.050.8
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End12.9
Second
604
#11
49.60.7
49.550.2
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
blue by 10.5
60.00.8
54.655.4
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End7.4
Third
7157
#12
43.90.7
46.547.2
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
red by 24.9
1700
#38
19.00.8
18.018.8
Auto9.3
Teleop3.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned