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Red165
25462.8
680055.2
594055.0
Blue155
325629.2
394044.9
204651.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19711450100150250300165155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#21
62.80.9
67.967.0
Auto15.0
Teleop36.9
End10.9
red by 11.1
2046
#14
51.81.4
46.748.1
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
Second
55.20.9
51.250.3
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
red by 10.3
3940
#15
44.91.4
44.746.2
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
Third
55.00.9
55.554.6
Auto14.9
Teleop31.9
End8.1
red by 25.8
3256
#35
29.21.4
26.227.6
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
99%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned