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Red160
69439.2
331052.6
550729.8
Blue128
11432.8
64939.1
204651.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211306080100140160180200160128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.63.0
54.657.6
Auto13.3
Teleop27.8
End11.5
red by 0.8
2046
#14
51.80.5
48.148.6
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
Second
694
#24
39.23.0
34.837.8
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 0.1
649
#22
39.10.5
38.539.0
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End7.8
Third
5507
#34
29.83.0
25.528.5
Auto11.7
Teleop13.2
End4.9
blue by 3.1
114
#33
32.80.5
34.334.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned90%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned