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Red86
317527.2
11432.8
49827.5
Blue133
248641.8
715743.9
425520.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7812505010015020086133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#33
32.80.4
34.835.2
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End8.2
blue by 11.1
7157
#12
43.91.2
45.546.7
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
Second
498
#29
27.50.4
23.824.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End6.9
blue by 14.3
2486
#25
41.81.2
40.341.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.6
End9.2
Third
3175
#37
27.20.4
20.721.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End2.1
red by 6.6
4255
#36
20.61.2
25.326.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
69%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsMissed76%Hangar oddsEarned