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Red134
69639.2
97221.7
715743.9
Blue150
325629.2
35947.1
331052.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11014350100200134150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#12
43.91.8
46.748.4
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
blue by 8.6
52.61.3
58.659.9
Auto13.3
Teleop27.8
End11.5
Second
696
#32
39.21.8
38.240.0
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
blue by 7.9
359
#8
47.11.3
46.948.2
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End10.0
Third
972
#39
21.71.8
22.824.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End7.2
blue by 7.6
3256
#35
29.21.3
24.826.1
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsMissed99%Hangar oddsEarned