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Red137
204651.8
347645.6
364747.0
Blue79
60449.6
293040.3
550729.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631175010015020025013779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#14
51.80.7
49.548.9
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
red by 2.2
604
#11
49.62.7
49.246.4
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
Second
3647
#10
47.00.7
49.949.2
Auto17.1
Teleop21.9
End8.1
red by 6.7
2930
#30
40.32.7
37.534.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End8.1
Third
3476
#16
45.60.7
47.847.1
Auto12.2
Teleop24.8
End8.6
red by 15.8
5507
#34
29.82.7
29.226.5
Auto11.7
Teleop13.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsMissed95%Hangar oddsMissed