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Red141
25462.8
170019.0
204651.8
Blue149
680055.2
703450.5
69639.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13416750100150200250141149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#21
62.80.5
62.863.2
Auto15.0
Teleop36.9
End10.9
red by 7.6
55.21.0
57.256.2
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
Second
2046
#14
51.80.5
49.550.0
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
red by 1.3
50.51.0
54.853.7
Auto15.2
Teleop25.8
End9.5
Third
1700
#38
19.00.5
17.818.3
Auto9.3
Teleop3.6
End6.1
blue by 20.2
696
#32
39.21.0
40.339.3
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned