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Red148
510436.2
69439.2
293040.3
Blue124
317527.2
325629.2
803340.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12595050150200148124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#30
40.31.8
38.039.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End8.1
blue by 0.5
8033
#23
40.82.1
37.139.2
Auto12.5
Teleop26.1
End2.2
Second
694
#24
39.21.8
39.841.6
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 10.0
3256
#35
29.22.1
28.430.4
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Third
5104
#27
36.21.8
35.737.5
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End6.1
red by 9.0
3175
#37
27.22.1
27.429.5
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned75%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed