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Red105
510436.2
97221.7
169062.3
Blue124
715743.9
364747.0
11432.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13213880100120160180105124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#18
62.31.3
63.962.6
Auto20.3
Teleop33.3
End8.7
red by 15.3
3647
#10
47.00.3
48.748.4
Auto17.1
Teleop21.9
End8.1
Second
5104
#27
36.21.3
37.536.2
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End6.1
blue by 7.8
7157
#12
43.90.3
46.045.7
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
Third
972
#39
21.71.3
23.021.7
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End7.2
blue by 11.2
114
#33
32.80.3
33.833.5
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsMissed