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Red85
42230.6
111130.0
44929.1
Blue118
162931.9
62334.2
447227.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95100608012014016085118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#15
30.60.1
30.830.6
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
blue by 3.5
623
#8
34.20.2
34.234.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End12.1
Second
30.00.1
30.230.0
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.9
blue by 1.8
31.90.2
31.932.1
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
Third
449
#31
29.10.1
29.229.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End10.1
red by 1.6
4472
#24
27.50.2
27.527.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4