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Red52
188532.0
173131.5
742923.1
Blue92
161028.1
12224.8
580427.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988960801201405292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.9
33.332.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End11.6
red by 4.0
1610
#13
28.10.2
29.429.5
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
Second
31.50.9
32.831.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End9.2
red by 3.7
5804
#32
27.80.2
29.129.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
Third
7429
#17
23.10.9
24.423.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End4.7
blue by 1.7
122
#11
24.80.2
26.126.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8