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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707740601001201408368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.1
29.230.3
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End6.4
blue by 1.5
31.50.2
33.433.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End9.2
Second
5338
#27
22.71.1
21.622.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
red by 2.6
1895
#35
20.00.2
19.519.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Third
4286
#46
16.61.1
15.716.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
blue by 2.3
8726
#38
18.80.2
18.818.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsEarned45%Hangar oddsMissed