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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4057020801004850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5549
#55
14.90.3
13.313.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.3
blue by 12.9
5804
#32
27.80.1
27.327.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
Second
8592
#49
14.70.3
13.513.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 6.0
5587
#26
20.70.1
15.215.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
Third
2186
#57
13.30.3
12.813.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End4.1
red by 4.8
6194
#59
8.50.1
8.48.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsMissed