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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726840506080901005165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#34
29.21.1
27.526.4
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
blue by 2.7
31.90.2
29.629.3
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
Second
1599
#36
23.31.1
24.923.8
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
blue by 1.5
122
#11
24.80.2
21.321.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Third
4286
#46
16.61.1
14.813.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
blue by 1.0
2537
#18
17.60.2
13.813.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
40%Cargo oddsEarned30%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned