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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61512040801008963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#8
34.21.7
26.528.1
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End12.1
red by 6.1
1610
#13
28.10.1
22.822.9
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
Second
4821
#20
21.41.7
15.917.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
blue by 1.5
686
#12
22.90.1
17.717.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
Third
5587
#26
20.71.7
13.615.2
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
red by 12.2
6194
#59
8.50.1
8.38.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed