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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions544930406070805181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#22
21.30.1
18.618.7
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
blue by 2.3
2421
#25
23.72.3
17.920.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End13.0
Second
1123
#37
19.70.1
18.818.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End6.8
blue by 2.9
116
#33
22.72.3
17.319.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
Third
6326
#44
13.40.1
12.612.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End2.7
blue by 3.6
6504
#23
17.02.3
11.814.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned