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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48882040608010012014045101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#32
27.80.6
27.927.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
blue by 2.5
5724
#16
30.31.0
27.928.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
Second
6802
#58
18.90.6
16.716.1
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
blue by 10.5
401
#6
29.41.0
25.026.0
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End6.8
Third
8622
#60
7.40.6
5.65.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
blue by 21.9
1086
#19
29.31.0
24.725.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed54%Hangar oddsEarned