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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6768204060801001201408788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.1
28.529.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End9.2
blue by 2.7
623
#8
34.21.3
27.528.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End12.1
Second
5724
#16
30.31.1
28.429.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 5.5
122
#11
24.81.3
23.024.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Third
8622
#60
7.41.1
6.07.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
blue by 6.8
1719
#43
14.21.3
13.414.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned20%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned