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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745840801008948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.01.4
25.827.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End11.6
red by 4.1
1262
#41
27.90.6
25.324.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
422
#15
30.61.4
22.624.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
red by 10.6
1895
#35
20.00.6
15.815.2
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
Third
7429
#17
23.11.4
19.420.8
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End4.7
red by 6.5
4286
#46
16.60.6
15.314.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsEarned36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed