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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68664060801007175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#31
29.10.3
29.228.9
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End10.1
blue by 0.2
1086
#19
29.30.6
26.326.9
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
888
#54
18.00.3
18.818.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
blue by 4.9
686
#12
22.90.6
19.119.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
Third
4286
#46
16.60.3
15.715.4
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
red by 0.8
3939
#47
15.80.6
16.717.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned58%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned