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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7566204060801001207591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#30
31.31.0
31.330.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 1.2
30.01.6
27.228.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.9
Second
8726
#38
18.81.0
19.818.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
blue by 1.9
5587
#26
20.71.6
17.318.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
Third
888
#54
18.01.0
18.317.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
blue by 1.7
1123
#37
19.71.6
18.420.0
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
48%Cargo oddsEarned49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
55%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsEarned